Corporate Sustainability Report - Flipbook - Page 74
Sustainability Report
The scenario analysis was completed in May
2025. The climate scenarios we used are:
Low emission
scenario (RCP 2.6)
A predicted global temperature increase
of between 1.5°C and 1.7°C by 2100,
compared with pre-industrial levels.
This would bring the world in line with
the Paris Agreement goal of 1.5°C. This
is commonly referred to as the bestcase and most ambitious scenario. This
represents immediate coordinated
global e昀昀orts to curb emissions, aiming
to limit warming to 1.5°C by 2100.
Intermediate emission
scenario (RCP 4.5)
This scenario assumes reliance on
existing or currently planned policies
and emission trends. A predicted
temperature increases of 2°C to 3°C by
2100 compared with the pre-industrial
levels. This would exceed the Paris
Agreement of 1.5°C and presents a
signi昀椀cant probability of occurrence
taking into consideration the current
existing trends and developments.
High emission
scenario (RCP 8.5)
A global temperature increases of
between 3.2°C and 5.4°C, where carbon
emissions continue growing unmitigated
with little or no measures taken. With no
mitigation, this is considered the worstcase scenario at the moment.
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The assessment took into consideration the
locations of our o昀케ces and supply chain due
to our reliance on our people, and third-party
providers to conduct our business and deliver
our services.
Access conducted the analysis across three
time horizons as follows:
•
short-term (one to three years),
•
medium-term (three to 昀椀ve years)
•
long-term (昀椀ve to ten years).
We have included the RCP 4.5 scenario in our
consideration of di昀昀erent climate-related
scenarios as our intermediate emission
scenario, while moving the RCP 2.6 to the low
level scenario.
This adjustment re昀氀ects the evolving dynamics
and developments that have occurred since
the adoption of the Paris Climate Agreement
in 2019.
The recalibration of our scenarios is driven by
several key considerations including political
in昀氀uences, the projected global emissions
peak, existing regulatory frameworks, the
rapid industrialisation of emerging economies,
and the actual implementation of policies and
technologies aimed at mitigating emissions.
These elements have a direct and signi昀椀cant
impact on global emissions trajectories and
will play a crucial role in determining the
timeline for achieving net-zero emissions.
As this timeline continues to shift, the actions
of the global community will ultimately de昀椀ne
the scenario in which we 昀椀nd ourselves by
2100. We have incorporated these scenarios
into our climate change risk assessment
and, based on our assessments so far, no
signi昀椀cant risks have been identi昀椀ed from
the scenario planning that we are unable to
mitigate – the business is therefore satis昀椀ed it
is resilient to climate change.
Over time, as global trends develop, any
additional signi昀椀cant risks and opportunities
which are identi昀椀ed will be incorporated into
our scenario planning.
As a provider of services, we believe we are
well positioned to o昀昀set potential adverse
